Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 0.104201 0.123538 0.145183 0.171169 0.201478 0.235669 0.277123
2025-02-02 0.074822 0.099836 0.130998 0.172496 0.226115 0.292845 0.381953
2025-02-09 0.057351 0.084108 0.120396 0.172816 0.246141 0.344524 0.485885
2025-02-16 0.046539 0.073893 0.113714 0.175245 0.267098 0.398102 0.597768
2025-02-23 0.039911 0.067891 0.111195 0.182083 0.293917 0.461848 0.730762
2025-03-02 0.032383 0.058771 0.102015 0.176700 0.300681 0.495838 0.822728
2025-03-09 0.027573 0.053079 0.097097 0.176873 0.315471 0.542967 0.939478
2025-03-16 0.023315 0.047466 0.091240 0.174252 0.324746 0.581576 1.045991
2025-03-23 0.020795 0.044558 0.089589 0.178558 0.346146 0.642288 1.195639
2025-03-30 0.017987 0.040534 0.085169 0.176961 0.356422 0.684413 1.316946
2025-04-06 0.015374 0.036398 0.079835 0.172704 0.360917 0.716238 1.422531
2025-04-13 0.013053 0.032440 0.074197 0.166919 0.361490 0.740471 1.516018
2025-04-20 0.011817 0.030734 0.073103 0.170559 0.381774 0.805215 1.695241
2025-04-27 0.010623 0.028908 0.071471 0.172834 0.399580 0.867150 1.875868
2025-05-04 0.009471 0.026951 0.069221 0.173377 0.413691 0.923027 2.049986
2025-05-11 0.008586 0.025502 0.067917 0.175866 0.432318 0.990079 2.253815
2025-05-18 0.008041 0.024852 0.068442 0.182740 0.461669 1.082831 2.521050
2025-05-25 0.006953 0.022464 0.064208 0.177341 0.461718 1.111674 2.652692
2025-06-01 0.006258 0.021064 0.062306 0.177515 0.475057 1.171393 2.858375
2025-06-08 0.005536 0.019427 0.059491 0.174886 0.481126 1.215019 3.031725
2025-06-15 0.005153 0.018772 0.059289 0.179206 0.505217 1.303036 3.315860
2025-06-22 0.004612 0.017482 0.057056 0.177604 0.513776 1.354796 3.519337
2025-06-29 0.004055 0.016012 0.054042 0.173332 0.514702 1.387993 3.681278